{
  "title": "Did Modi’s Biggest Promises Come True?",
  "site_release": "1.4.6",
  "research_cutoff": "2026-08-27",
  "counts": {
    "promise_records": 20,
    "direct_modi_statements": 9,
    "official_government_targets": 11,
    "wider_factual_statements": 82,
    "documented_repetitions": 15,
    "published_claim_examples": 3,
    "met_target_controls": 2
  },
  "targets": [
    {
      "id": "T01",
      "kind": "target",
      "theme": "deadlines",
      "title": "Housing for All by 2022",
      "original": "The 2022 finish line was repeatedly used for universal housing, including in a 2016 prime-ministerial interview.",
      "latest": "PMAY-U was extended to 30 September 2026. The official count stood at 99.25 lakh completed homes on 12 August 2026.",
      "metric": "99.25L",
      "metricLabel": "homes complete",
      "verdict": "Missed · extended",
      "tone": "moved",
      "caveat": "“Housing for all” never had one fixed denominator. Sanctioned, grounded, completed and occupied homes are different measures; PMAY-U and PMAY-G also need separate treatment.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Original PM record",
          "url": "https://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/housing-for-all-by-2022-mission-national-mission-for-urban-housing/"
        },
        {
          "label": "2016 Times Now interview",
          "url": "https://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/pms-exclusive-interview-with-times-now-full-transcript/"
        },
        {
          "label": "Latest official update",
          "url": "https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2298526"
        }
      ],
      "record_type": "Direct Modi statement"
    },
    {
      "id": "T02",
      "kind": "target",
      "theme": "deadlines",
      "title": "Tap water for every rural home by 2024",
      "original": "The 2019 goal put a functional household tap connection in every rural home by 2024.",
      "latest": "On 10 August 2026, the reported connection count was 15.91 crore, or 82.24%. The programme was extended to December 2028.",
      "metric": "82.24%",
      "metricLabel": "reported connections",
      "verdict": "Missed · extended",
      "tone": "moved",
      "caveat": "A connection is not the same as reliable service. A functionality sample reported 86.5% working, 80.2% adequate, 83.6% regular and 76% meeting the quality measure.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Original 2019 speech",
          "url": "https://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/pms-opening-remarks-at-fifth-meeting-of-governing-council-of-niti-aayog/"
        },
        {
          "label": "Latest official update",
          "url": "https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2299487&lang=2&reg=48"
        }
      ],
      "record_type": "Direct Modi statement"
    },
    {
      "id": "T04",
      "kind": "target",
      "theme": "deadlines",
      "title": "Gaganyaan by 2022—or earlier",
      "original": "The 2018 Independence Day address said an Indian would go to space in Gaganyaan by 2022, if possible earlier.",
      "latest": "By August 2026, the first uncrewed mission was planned for Q4 2026 and the first crewed mission for 2027.",
      "metric": "2027",
      "metricLabel": "current crewed plan",
      "verdict": "Missed · extended",
      "tone": "moved",
      "caveat": "The deadline moved. Safety requirements and the pandemic are material explanations and should be reported alongside the schedule, not erased by the verdict.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "2018 Independence Day record",
          "url": "https://archive.pib.gov.in/independenceday2018/relcontentdec.aspx?relidd=181917"
        },
        {
          "label": "Latest official schedule",
          "url": "https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2294771&lang=1&reg=48"
        }
      ],
      "record_type": "Direct Modi statement"
    },
    {
      "id": "T08",
      "kind": "target",
      "theme": "deadlines",
      "title": "$5 trillion economy by 2024",
      "original": "At the June 2019 NITI Aayog meeting, the government set out the ambition of making India a $5 trillion economy by 2024.",
      "latest": "In March 2025, the prime minister described India as a $3.8 trillion economy.",
      "metric": "$3.8T",
      "metricLabel": "stated in Mar 2025",
      "verdict": "Finish line missed",
      "tone": "missed",
      "caveat": "This is a nominal current-US-dollar comparison and therefore sensitive to both domestic prices and the exchange rate.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Original NITI Aayog speech",
          "url": "https://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/pms-opening-remarks-at-fifth-meeting-of-governing-council-of-niti-aayog/"
        },
        {
          "label": "March 2025 update",
          "url": "https://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/pms-address-at-post-budget-webinar-on-boosting-job-creation-via-video-conferencing/"
        }
      ],
      "record_type": "Direct Modi statement"
    },
    {
      "id": "T12",
      "kind": "target",
      "theme": "deadlines",
      "title": "Mumbai–Ahmedabad high-speed rail",
      "original": "At the 2017 ground-breaking, the stated effort was to complete the project in 2022–23.",
      "latest": "Physical progress was 55.63% on 30 November 2025. The first Surat–Vapi service was expected in August 2027.",
      "metric": "55.63%",
      "metricLabel": "physical progress",
      "verdict": "Missed · delayed",
      "tone": "missed",
      "caveat": "The original wording was aspirational. Land acquisition, state-level delays and the pandemic remain necessary context.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "2017 ground-breaking speech",
          "url": "https://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/pms-address-at-the-ground-breaking-ceremony-of-indias-first-high-speed-rail-project-in-ahmedabad/"
        },
        {
          "label": "Latest official update",
          "url": "https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2280745&lang=1&reg=48"
        }
      ],
      "record_type": "Direct Modi statement"
    },
    {
      "id": "T16",
      "kind": "target",
      "theme": "deadlines",
      "title": "Bharatmala Phase I",
      "original": "The 34,800 km Phase I programme was framed for FY2017–18 to FY2021–22.",
      "latest": "By 31 March 2026, 22,590 km had been completed.",
      "metric": "22,590",
      "metricLabel": "km complete",
      "verdict": "Missed · extended",
      "tone": "moved",
      "caveat": "Awarded length, construction started and completed length should not be treated as interchangeable.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Latest official update",
          "url": "https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2272639&lang=1&reg=3"
        }
      ],
      "record_type": "Official government target"
    },
    {
      "id": "T19",
      "kind": "target",
      "theme": "deadlines",
      "title": "Namami Gange five-year window",
      "original": "The mission launched as a five-year programme running through 2020.",
      "latest": "In February 2026, 355 of 524 projects were complete; 138 of 218 sewerage projects and 4,050 of 6,610 MLD were operational.",
      "metric": "355/524",
      "metricLabel": "projects complete",
      "verdict": "Window missed · extended",
      "tone": "moved",
      "caveat": "Project counts and installed treatment capacity measure different parts of delivery; both are needed.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Latest official update",
          "url": "https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2248377&lang=2&reg=3"
        }
      ],
      "record_type": "Official government target"
    },
    {
      "id": "T20",
      "kind": "target",
      "theme": "deadlines",
      "title": "100% broad-gauge rail electrification",
      "original": "The target was complete broad-gauge electrification by December 2023.",
      "latest": "The official figure was 99.6% on 22 July 2026.",
      "metric": "99.6%",
      "metricLabel": "network electrified",
      "verdict": "Missed · near-complete",
      "tone": "near",
      "caveat": "A 0.4-point gap is small, but 99.6% and 100% are not the same claim. The story preserves both the miss and the scale of progress.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Latest official update",
          "url": "https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2287573&lang=1&reg=3"
        }
      ],
      "record_type": "Official government target"
    },
    {
      "id": "T03",
      "kind": "target",
      "theme": "late-progress",
      "title": "100 GW solar capacity by 2022",
      "original": "The National Solar Mission target was revised to 100 GW by 2021–22.",
      "latest": "The threshold was crossed in January 2025; capacity reached 150.26 GW by 31 March 2026.",
      "metric": "150.26",
      "metricLabel": "GW by Mar 2026",
      "verdict": "Delivered late",
      "tone": "late",
      "caveat": "Installed capacity is not electricity generated. The target was eventually exceeded, but after its original deadline.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Target revision",
          "url": "https://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/revision-of-cumulative-targets-under-national-solar-mission-from-20000-mw-by-2021-22-to-100000-mw/"
        },
        {
          "label": "100 GW crossing",
          "url": "https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2100603"
        }
      ],
      "record_type": "Official government target"
    },
    {
      "id": "T06",
      "kind": "target",
      "theme": "late-progress",
      "title": "Smart Cities Mission",
      "original": "The mission was designed as a five-year programme, with cities selected in stages.",
      "latest": "After repeated extensions, 7,790 of 8,064 projects—about 97%—were complete by 31 March 2026.",
      "metric": "97%",
      "metricLabel": "projects complete",
      "verdict": "Late · almost complete",
      "tone": "late",
      "caveat": "Staggered selection means cities did not share one start date. The numerator is projects, not whole-city transformation.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Latest official update",
          "url": "https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2293938&lang=1&reg=48"
        }
      ],
      "record_type": "Official government target"
    },
    {
      "id": "T10",
      "kind": "target",
      "theme": "late-progress",
      "title": "Eliminate TB by 2025",
      "original": "India set a 2025 elimination target, five years ahead of the global SDG timeline.",
      "latest": "The 2026 official update reported incidence down 21% and mortality down 28% from 2015.",
      "metric": "−21%",
      "metricLabel": "incidence since 2015",
      "verdict": "Missed · substantial progress",
      "tone": "late",
      "caveat": "Technical elimination is far more demanding—roughly 80% lower incidence, 90% lower mortality and zero catastrophic cost.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Original PM address",
          "url": "https://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/pms-address-at-the-foundation-stone-laying-ceremony-of-aiims-madurai-tamil-nadu/"
        },
        {
          "label": "2026 official update",
          "url": "https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2244661"
        }
      ],
      "record_type": "Direct Modi statement"
    },
    {
      "id": "T15",
      "kind": "target",
      "theme": "late-progress",
      "title": "POSHAN Mission 25 by 2022",
      "original": "The mission sought to reduce stunting to 25% by 2022.",
      "latest": "NFHS-5 measured 35.5%; NFHS-6 later reported 29.3%.",
      "metric": "29.3%",
      "metricLabel": "NFHS-6 stunting",
      "verdict": "Missed · later progress",
      "tone": "late",
      "caveat": "The programme wording covered children under six, while the NFHS comparison is generally reported for under-fives.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Mission target",
          "url": "https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=1593038"
        },
        {
          "label": "NFHS-6 result",
          "url": "https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2266600&lang=1&reg=3"
        }
      ],
      "record_type": "Official government target"
    },
    {
      "id": "T09",
      "kind": "target",
      "theme": "metric-shift",
      "title": "Fibre to six lakh-plus villages in 1,000 days",
      "original": "The August 2020 address set a 1,000-day finish line for optical fibre to every village.",
      "latest": "The deadline implied May 2023. Later plans shifted to all inhabited villages by 2025; by June 2026, 2.21 lakh Gram Panchayats were reported service-ready.",
      "metric": "2.21L",
      "metricLabel": "GPs service-ready",
      "verdict": "Missed · metric replaced",
      "tone": "moved",
      "caveat": "Village, inhabited village, Gram Panchayat, fibre laid and service-ready are different denominators and delivery states.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "2020 Red Fort address",
          "url": "https://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/pms-address-to-the-nation-from-the-ramparts-of-the-red-fort/"
        },
        {
          "label": "Latest official update",
          "url": "https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleaseDetail.aspx?PRID=2298492&lang=1&reg=48"
        }
      ],
      "record_type": "Direct Modi statement"
    },
    {
      "id": "T11",
      "kind": "target",
      "theme": "metric-shift",
      "title": "Free India from single-use plastic by 2022",
      "original": "The 2019 formulation described freeing India from single-use plastic by 2022.",
      "latest": "The notified ban covers a specified list, not all single-use plastic. In 2024 enforcement, 3.44 lakh violations were reported and 19.5 lakh kg seized.",
      "metric": "19.5L kg",
      "metricLabel": "seized in 2024",
      "verdict": "Missed · scope narrowed",
      "tone": "moved",
      "caveat": "A ban on listed items should not be rewritten as elimination of the entire category.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Original PM address",
          "url": "https://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/pm-addresses-indian-community-in-bahrain/"
        },
        {
          "label": "Notified ban scope",
          "url": "https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=1837518"
        }
      ],
      "record_type": "Direct Modi statement"
    },
    {
      "id": "T13",
      "kind": "target",
      "theme": "metric-shift",
      "title": "175 GW renewable capacity by 2022",
      "original": "The target was 175 GW of renewables by December 2022, excluding large hydro in the original basket.",
      "latest": "Capacity excluding large hydro was about 125.16 GW on 31 March 2023. A separate 172.72 GW non-fossil figure included large hydro and nuclear.",
      "metric": "125.16",
      "metricLabel": "GW on original basis",
      "verdict": "Missed · label broadened",
      "tone": "moved",
      "caveat": "Renewable excluding large hydro and non-fossil including hydro plus nuclear are not the same category.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Original target",
          "url": "https://www.pib.gov.in/newsite/printrelease.aspx?relid=133220"
        },
        {
          "label": "MNRE year-wise achievement",
          "url": "https://mnre.gov.in/en/year-wise-achievement/"
        },
        {
          "label": "October 2022 composition",
          "url": "https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=1885147"
        }
      ],
      "record_type": "Official government target"
    },
    {
      "id": "T17",
      "kind": "target",
      "theme": "metric-shift",
      "title": "UDAN airports and routes",
      "original": "Milestones included 100 airports by 2024 and 1,000 routes, later reframed as 220 destinations and 1,000 routes by 2026.",
      "latest": "At the ninth anniversary, 657 routes and 93 airports were operational. Modified UDAN reset the programme in July 2026.",
      "metric": "657/1000",
      "metricLabel": "routes operational",
      "verdict": "Milestones missed · reset",
      "tone": "moved",
      "caveat": "Airports, destinations and routes are separate units. A revised programme cannot silently replace the original benchmark.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Official outcome update",
          "url": "https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2216972"
        }
      ],
      "record_type": "Official government target"
    },
    {
      "id": "T05",
      "kind": "target",
      "theme": "missing-scoreboard",
      "title": "Manufacturing: 25% of GDP and 100m jobs",
      "original": "Make in India carried a 2022 ambition: manufacturing at 25% of GDP and 100 million new jobs.",
      "latest": "The Economic Survey put the nominal GVA share at 15.4% in 2021–22. A later 64.4 million employment estimate is not comparable to “100 million jobs created.”",
      "metric": "15.4%",
      "metricLabel": "GVA share in 2021–22",
      "verdict": "Share missed · jobs unresolved",
      "tone": "unresolved",
      "caveat": "Stock of people employed and cumulative new jobs created are not interchangeable. The two-part goal requires two separate verdicts.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Official target record",
          "url": "https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=1555538"
        }
      ],
      "record_type": "Official government target"
    },
    {
      "id": "T07",
      "kind": "target",
      "theme": "missing-scoreboard",
      "title": "Double farmers’ income by 2022",
      "original": "The goal was to double farmers’ income by 2022.",
      "latest": "The last nationwide comparable SAS is 2018–19. Published points are ₹6,426 per month in 2012–13 and ₹10,218 in 2018–19; the latest three years are unavailable.",
      "metric": "2018–19",
      "metricLabel": "last comparable SAS",
      "verdict": "Not honestly verifiable",
      "tone": "unresolved",
      "caveat": "Without a comparable nationwide end-point, a definitive met/missed verdict would outrun the public evidence.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Latest official answer",
          "url": "https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2298040"
        },
        {
          "label": "Survey comparison",
          "url": "https://www.pib.gov.in/Pressreleaseshare.aspx?PRID=2003180"
        }
      ],
      "record_type": "Direct Modi statement"
    },
    {
      "id": "T14",
      "kind": "target",
      "theme": "missing-scoreboard",
      "title": "PM-SYM: 10 crore beneficiaries",
      "original": "The pension scheme set a 10 crore beneficiary ambition for 2018–23.",
      "latest": "More than 54 lakh beneficiaries were enrolled by 3 August 2026.",
      "metric": ">54L",
      "metricLabel": "enrolled by Aug 2026",
      "verdict": "Missed · extended",
      "tone": "missed",
      "caveat": "The scheme is voluntary and contributory; pandemic-era disruption is relevant context, but does not change the original benchmark.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Latest official update",
          "url": "https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2293891&lang=1&reg=48"
        }
      ],
      "record_type": "Official government target"
    },
    {
      "id": "T18",
      "kind": "target",
      "theme": "missing-scoreboard",
      "title": "Skill India: train 40.02 crore people",
      "original": "The 2015 launch set a target of training 40.02 crore people by 2022 across programmes and ministries.",
      "latest": "The ministry said about six crore people had been empowered by July 2025, while noting there is no centralised record spanning the 40-plus ministries involved.",
      "metric": "≈6Cr",
      "metricLabel": "reported by Jul 2025",
      "verdict": "Not honestly verifiable",
      "tone": "unresolved",
      "caveat": "Training, skilling, upskilling and “empowered” are not a stable shared unit; the cross-ministry denominator is missing.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "2015 launch record",
          "url": "https://www.pib.gov.in/newsite/erelcontent.aspx?relid=123296"
        },
        {
          "label": "Latest official status",
          "url": "https://www.pib.gov.in/PressNoteDetails.aspx?ModuleId=3&NoteId=154880"
        }
      ],
      "record_type": "Official government target"
    }
  ],
  "claim_examples": [
    {
      "id": "F05",
      "kind": "claim",
      "theme": "claims",
      "title": "“No detention centres”",
      "original": "In a 22 December 2019 speech, the prime minister said there were no detention centres in India.",
      "latest": "Five weeks earlier, the Home Ministry told Parliament that 988 foreigners were lodged in six detention centres in Assam.",
      "metric": "988",
      "metricLabel": "people in six centres",
      "verdict": "Contradicted by official record",
      "tone": "false",
      "caveat": "The parliamentary answer refers specifically to Assam. The verdict is tied to the nationwide absolute claim made in the speech.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Home Ministry parliamentary answer",
          "url": "https://www.mha.gov.in/MHA1/Par2017/pdfs/par2019-pdfs/rs-27112019/103.pdf"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "F07",
      "kind": "claim",
      "theme": "claims",
      "title": "Manifesto recast as wealth seizure",
      "original": "At Banswara in April 2024, a campaign speech attributed a proposal to seize and redistribute women’s gold and household wealth to the Congress manifesto.",
      "latest": "The published manifesto contains no such proposal.",
      "metric": "0",
      "metricLabel": "such proposals in manifesto",
      "verdict": "False attribution",
      "tone": "false",
      "caveat": "This checks the attributed document, not every statement by every party representative during the campaign.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Banswara rally video",
          "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E8s9LkUoFzA"
        },
        {
          "label": "Published manifesto",
          "url": "https://manifesto.inc.in/en/economy/"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "F06",
      "kind": "claim",
      "theme": "claims",
      "title": "“100%” rail electrification",
      "original": "The 15 August 2026 address described rail electrification as 100%.",
      "latest": "The official benchmark published weeks earlier was 99.6% on 22 July 2026.",
      "metric": "0.4pt",
      "metricLabel": "difference",
      "verdict": "Minor overstatement",
      "tone": "misleading",
      "caveat": "The gap is small and the network was near-complete. The record labels magnitude as well as factual precision.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Official 99.6% benchmark",
          "url": "https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2287573&lang=1&reg=3"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "met_target_controls": [
    {
      "id": "P03",
      "kind": "control",
      "theme": "controls",
      "title": "Ujjwala: 8 crore connections",
      "original": "The programme target was eight crore LPG connections by March 2020.",
      "latest": "The eight-crore mark was reached in September 2019.",
      "metric": "6 mo",
      "metricLabel": "ahead of deadline",
      "verdict": "Met early",
      "tone": "met",
      "caveat": "A connection is not proof of refill frequency or exclusive LPG use. Those are separate outcome questions.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "PMUY programme record",
          "url": "https://www.pmuy.gov.in/about.html"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "P04",
      "kind": "control",
      "theme": "controls",
      "title": "Jan Dhan account target",
      "original": "The first target was 7.5 crore accounts by 26 January 2015, later raised to 10 crore.",
      "latest": "The official count was 11.50 crore by 17 January 2015.",
      "metric": "11.50Cr",
      "metricLabel": "accounts by Jan 2015",
      "verdict": "Met early · exceeded",
      "tone": "met",
      "caveat": "Accounts opened do not by themselves establish activity, balances or complete household coverage.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Programme launch record",
          "url": "https://www.pmindia.gov.in/en/news_updates/pm-launches-pradhan-mantri-jan-dhan-yojana/"
        }
      ]
    }
  ]
}
